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Oct 18, 2006

Stock Recommendation: UTI Bank

Dalal Street Journal ( Diwali Buys) 16-29 Oct-2006

Here's a bank with increasing net interest margin (NIM), improving asset quality, well cushioned investment portfolio, consistant dividend payment history and better than industry average growth. UTI Bank is one such scrip which meets all the above parameters and becomes one of the scrips for our Muhurat buys. The growth of UTI Bank's business continues unabated. The current account and savings accout (CASA) ratio of the bank stands at 40 percent of the total deposits, NIM has improved consistently in each of the quarters in FY06 and even the fee-based income continues to be strong. The asset quality in on an uptrend due to the lower incremental defaults and the bottomline growth has been strong. At the CMP of Rs.410, UTI Bank is trading at P/E of 17.88x of FY07E earnings as compared to 20.32x of ICICI Bank, 23.98x of Kotak Mahindra Bank and 26.70x of HDFC Bank, which makes the scrip more attractive. We also think the UTI Bank could become a prime acquisition target for the foreign banks and expect the counter to trade at a higher premium going forward.

The major growth is expected from the increased branch network. UTI Bank has a pan-India presence with 367 branches, 95 extension counters and 2,000 ATM ( which is the third largest ATM network among banks in India). The bank is planning to roll out 100 more branches in FY07 and most of these branches will be set up un rural areas, which will result in higher retail banking business and increased share of the low-cost CASA deposits. The bank expects the share of these low cost deposits to increase to 42 percent in FY07E.

For Q1FY07, the deposits stood at Rs.42,094 crore while advances stood at Rs.25,836 crores. The important fact is that the retail advances constituted 30 percent of the total advances. We expect the share of retail loans to touch 32 percent by the end of FY07. Clearly indicating that the bank is focussing more on high-yielding retail assets. The net interest margin of the bank has shown consistent improvement in the past and stands at 2.68 percent. With improvement in yield on advances and increasing CASA deposits, the NIM of the bank is expected to improve to 2.90 percent at the end of FY07. The fee-based income of the bank is also expected to increase with opening of new branches and tie-ups with the MFs. This income will give the much needed stability to the bank"s overall profitability by reducing its dependence on the highly volatile treasury income. The asset quality of the bank has improved consistently and the net NPAs stand at 0.73 percent . According to the management, the net NPA level is expected around 0.60 percent at the end of FY07. Hence, with all these positive factors, we recommend the investors to buy the scrip with a minimum on one years perspective.

Punjab National Bank's Doorstep banking:

The Bank has launched doorstep banking through vans in North Delhi. The areas covered under the facility are Azadpur, Gujranwala Town and Model Town. The van will be stationed at three venues in two shifts - morning and afternoon, for duration of 20 to 40 minutes at each venue. Customers can make select transactions and requests for banking activities. Initially, only cash less service will be offered through the doorstep banking van.

Result Update : Punjab & Sind Bank

Net profit of bank rose 102% to Rs.72.93 crore for the second quarter ended September 30, 2006 against Rs.36.08 crore over the same period last year. The deposits grew by 35.44% to Rs.19,372 crore and advances grew by 55.28% to Rs.7,255 crore from Sept. 05 to Sept. 06. The net NPA stood at 1.81 % at Sept. 06.

Result Update : Centurion Bank of Punjab Ltd.

Net profit of CBoP rose 49% to Rs.31.13 crore for the second quarter ended September 30, 2006 against Rs.20.9 crore over the same period last year. The bank's net NPA stood at 1.3%. The deposits stood at Rs.11,383 crore against Rs.8,071 crore and advances stood at Rs.8,385 crore against Rs.5,113 crore.

Result Update : South Indian Bank Ltd.

Net profit of SIB for the quarter ended September 30, 2006 has grown by 383% to Rs.41.65 crore compared to Rs.8.63 crore over the same period last year. The gross NPA has come down to 5% and net NPA has come down to 1.69%. The Capital Adequacy Ratio has gone up to 11.50%. The total business grew 28 % to Rs.18,224 crore.

Result Update : HDFC Bank

Net profit of HDFC Bank rose 31.7 % to Rs.262.94 crore for the second quarter ended September 30,2006 against Rs.199.64 crore over the same period last year. Total deposits stood at Rs.63,447 crore (39.6% growth) and Total advances stood at Rs.49,326 crore (34.2% growth) for Q2. The Net Interest Margin was maintained at 4% which is highest in the industry. The Capital Adequacy Ratio was at 12.1%. The share of low cost deposit stood at 52% of total deposit base

Union Bank of India to sell gold coins:

Joining the bandwagon of banks selling gold coins and bars, Union Bank of India has also launched sale of gold coins of 5gm, 8gm and 10gm weight having 99.99 purity at select branches all over India.

Bank of Rajasthan hikes deposit rates:

With effect from October 6, 2006 the bank has hiked the rate of interest on deposits for the following periods; Deposit for 61 to 90 days - 5.75% , Deposit for 1 year to less than 2 years -8.25%, Deposit for 5 years and above - 8.50%, Interest on its tax savings deposits will be 8.50%.